Maryland: Clinton with whopping advantage in latest Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll
By Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
Of those who responded, 63.0% said that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% said that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from March 30 to April 3.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, you should not focus too much on the results of a single poll. Rather than relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump. On September 11 Clinton received only 30.8% in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll and Trump received only 0.0%.
Results in comparison to other polls
If we look at an average of Maryland polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 69.0%. This value is 0.2 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Maryland. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 4.7 points below her polling numbers.
