DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton with very clear lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will win 29.9%. In comparison, on September 11 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.