DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will win 29.9%. In comparison, on September 11 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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