DeSart model: Clinton in Wyoming trails by a very clear margin
The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on September 11 Trump was predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 65.4% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 9.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.