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DeSart model: Clinton in Wyoming trails by a very clear margin


The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on September 11 Trump was predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 65.4% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 9.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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