Hit enter after type your search item

Clinton tied with Trump in latest LA Times poll

/
/
/
7 Views

LA Times released the results of a new national poll, in which respondents were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

LA Times poll results
44

Clinton

44

Trump

According to the results, former New York Senator Hillary Clinton and billionaire Donald Trump can draw on identical levels of support, each with 44.0% of the vote.

The poll was conducted from September 5 to September 11. A total of 2596 respondents responded. There is a sampling error of +/-4.5 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The results of the actual poll mean 50.0 % for Clinton and 50.0 % for Trump concerning the two-party vote share. On September 11 Clinton obtained 50.6% in the LA Times poll and Trump obtained only 49.4%.

Comparison to other polls

If we look at an average of polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 52.1%. In comparison to the average forecast of other polls Clinton performed 2.1 percentage points worse in the poll. This deviation is outside the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.0% and Trump 47.0% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 3 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error suggests that this difference is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar