Oregon: Clinton and Trump virtually tied in latest Clout Research (R) poll

Clout Research (R) published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Oregon were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Of those who responded, 43.0% said that they plan to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 40.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from July 9 to July 13. A total of 701 likely voters responded. If one takes into account the poll's margin of error of +/-3.7 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can contain substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The resulting figures are 51.8% for Clinton and 48.2% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Oregon. That is, the PollyVote is 6.7 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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