PPP (D) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
According to the results, 30.0% of respondents will give their vote to former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 57.0% intend to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from April 29 to May 1. A total of 1201 likely voters responded. The error margin is +/-2.8 points. This means that the levels of voter support for Clinton and Trump differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, don't be overly confident the results of an individual poll. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. Hence, the PollyVote is 3.4 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin suggests that this difference is significant.