KSN News/SurveyUSA poll in Kansas: Trump with big lead
KSN News/SurveyUSA released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Kansas were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
KSN News/SurveyUSA poll results
According to the results, 36.0% of respondents plan to cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 47.0% plan to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from July 8 to July 11, among a random sample of 559 likely voters.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. The resulting figures are 43.4% for Clinton and 56.6% for Trump. In the most recent KSN News/SurveyUSA poll on September 9 Clinton obtained 56.6%, while Trump obtained only 0.0%.
The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Kansas. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 0.1 points above his polling numbers.