Illinois: New NBC-WSJ-Marist poll has Trump trailing by 25 points

NBC-WSJ-Marist released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Illinois were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Of those who replied, 57.0% said that they will vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 32.0% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from March 4 to March 10 among 1968 registered voters.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they may incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the recommended strategy look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

For the following comparison, we translate the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in values of 64.0% for Clinton and 36.0% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Illinois. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 5.8 points below her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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