DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in West Virginia
The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will win 66.7%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.