DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in West Virginia

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will win 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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