DeSart model: Trump trails by a very clear margin

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 91.9% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 8.1%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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