DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 65.4% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 9.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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