DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump with very clear lead
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may include large biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.