DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they often contain substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 7.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.