DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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