DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Vermont
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, because they can include substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.