Wyoming: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 25.5% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will win 74.5%. In comparison, on September 9, Clinton was predicted to end up with 74.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 65.4% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 9.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.