Maryland: Clinton with huge advantage in recent Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll
Results of a new poll carried out by Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland were released. The poll asked interviewees from Maryland for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
Of those who responded, 63.0% said that they would vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% indicated that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from March 30 to April 3.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields values of 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump. In the most recent Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll on September 9 Clinton obtained only 30.8%, while Trump obtained only 0.0%.
Comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in Maryland has Clinton at 69.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.2 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Maryland. Hence, the PollyVote is 4.7 points below her polling numbers.