Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky. In comparison, on September 9, Clinton was predicted to gain 64.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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