Jerome model: Clinton with very clear lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 86.4% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 13.6%. In comparison, on September 9 Trump was still predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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