Holbrook model: Clinton is in the lead

The Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 52.5% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 47.5%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they may include substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 49.8%. This value is 2.7 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Holbrook model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote. The results of the Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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