DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in West Virginia

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia. In comparison, on September 9 Trump was predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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