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DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton, and 8.1% for Trump. In comparison, on September 9, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 8.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can include large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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