DeSart model: Clinton in Kansas trails by a very clear margin

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas. In comparison, on September 9 Trump was predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 7.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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