Results of a new poll administered by Western NE University were released. The poll asked interviewees from Massachusetts for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.
Western NE University poll results
The results show that 62.0% of interviewees said that they would cast a ballot for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 26.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from April 1 to April 10. A total of 497 registered voters responded. If one takes into account the poll's sampling error of +/-4.0 percentage points, the gap in voter support is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls may contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, we recommend to rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
For the following comparison, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 70.5% for Clinton and 29.6% for Trump. For comparison: Only 29.6% was gained by Clinton in the Western NE University poll on September 8, for Trump this number was only 0.0%.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 63.8% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 6.7 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin reveals that this deviation is significant.