Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Minnesota were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon poll results
According to the results, 48.0% of interviewees intend to give their vote to former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 35.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from April 25 to April 27. A total of 800 registered voters responded. There is a sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual poll. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 57.8% for Clinton and 42.2% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. This means that Polly's forecast is 1.9 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's error margin.