Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon poll in Minnesota: Clinton with 13 points lead

Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Minnesota were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

According to the results, 48.0% of interviewees intend to give their vote to former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 35.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from April 25 to April 27. A total of 800 registered voters responded. There is a sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual poll. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 57.8% for Clinton and 42.2% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. This means that Polly's forecast is 1.9 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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