Oregon: Clinton and Trump neck-and-neck in new Clout Research (R) poll

Clout Research (R) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Oregon were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

Of those who replied, 43.0% said that they plan to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 40.0% revealed that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from July 9 to July 13. A total of 701 likely voters responded. If one takes into account the poll's margin of error of +/-3.7 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls often contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in values of 51.8% for Clinton and 48.2% for Trump.

The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Oregon. That is, the PollyVote is 6.7 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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