Jerome model: Clinton with very clear lead
The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 86.4% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 13.6%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.