Illinois: Clinton holds overwhelming advantage in NBC-WSJ-Marist poll

Results of a new poll carried out by NBC-WSJ-Marist were published. The poll asked participants from Illinois for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

According to the results, 57.0% of respondents are going to cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 32.0% are going to cast a ballot for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from March 4 to March 10 among 1968 registered voters.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single poll. Rather than relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we convert them into two-party vote shares. The corresponding figures are 64.0% for Clinton and 36.0% for Trump. On September 8 Clinton obtained only 36.0% in the NBC-WSJ-Marist poll and Trump obtained only 0.0%.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Illinois. That is, the combined PollyVote is 5.8 points below her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.