DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 91.9% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 8.1%. In comparison, on September 8, Clinton was predicted to win only 8.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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