DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 91.9% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 8.1%. In comparison, on September 8, Clinton was predicted to win only 8.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.