DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 66.5% for Clinton, and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont. In comparison, on September 8 Trump was still predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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