The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.