The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will win 64.0%. In comparison, on September 8, Clinton was predicted to achieve 64.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they often include substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 7.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.