The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will end up with 29.9%. In comparison, on September 8 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.