DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will end up with 29.9%. In comparison, on September 8 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.