Wisconsin: Trump and Clinton neck-and-neck in new DeSart model

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.2% for Clinton, and 48.8% for Trump in Wisconsin. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.4% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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