Wisconsin: Trump and Clinton neck-and-neck in new DeSart model
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.2% for Clinton, and 48.8% for Trump in Wisconsin. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.4% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.