Massachusetts: Whopping advantage for Clinton in new Western NE University poll

Western NE University released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Massachusetts were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Of those who responded, 62.0% said that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 26.0% declared that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from April 1 to April 10, among a random sample of 497 registered voters. The sampling error is +/-4.0 points, which means that the levels of voter support for the candidates of both parties differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they may contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single polls, the best practice is to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

For the following comparison, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in figures of 70.5% for Clinton and 29.6% for Trump.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 63.8% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. That is, Polly's combined forecast is 6.7 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error indicates that this difference is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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