MetroNewsMetroNews released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
MetroNewsMetroNews poll results
Of those who replied, 31.0% said that they will vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 49.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from August 9 to August 28. A total of 386 likely voters responded. There is a sampling error of +/-4.7 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not put too much trust in the results of an individual poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
For the following comparison, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields figures of 38.8% for Clinton and 61.3% for Trump.
The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 0.8 points above his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's margin of error.