West Virginia: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 46.0% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will win 54.0%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win 54.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 8.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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