Washington: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 55.5% of the two-party vote share in Washington, whereas Trump will end up with 44.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect only 44.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 56.8% of the two-party vote in Washington. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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