Results of a new poll carried out by Wash Post/Univ. Of MarylandWash Post were circulated. The poll asked participants from Maryland for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
Wash Post/Univ. Of MarylandWash Post poll results
Of those who responded, 63.0% said that they intend to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 28.0% said that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was in the field between March 30 and April 3.
Putting the results in context
Single polls may incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following analysis, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump.
Results compared to other polls
An average of recent polls in Maryland sees Clinton at 69.0% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the Wash Post/Univ. Of MarylandWash Post poll Clinton's poll average is 0.2 percentage points worse.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Maryland. That is, the PollyVote is 4.7 points below her polling numbers.