Vermont: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 54.2% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 45.8%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win only 45.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 64.7% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 10.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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