Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 66.5% for Clinton, and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win only 33.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.7% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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