Trump leads in Louisiana by 8 points in latest WWL-TV/Clarus poll
WWL-TV/Clarus released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Louisiana were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
WWL-TV/Clarus poll results
Of those who responded, 39.0% said that they will vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 47.0% revealed that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from September 20 to September 23, among a random sample of 800 registered voters. If one takes into account the poll's margin of error of +/-3.5 percentage points, the gap in voter support is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be treated with caution, because they may include substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. The resulting figures are 45.4% for Clinton and 54.7% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. Hence, the PollyVote is 3.0 points above his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error suggests that this deviation is insignificant.