The Big-issue model is part of the index models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 50.3% for Clinton, and 49.7% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
An average of recent index models has Clinton at 53.7% of the two-party vote. In comparison to numbers in the Big-issue index model Clinton's index model average is 3.4 percentage points higher.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Big-issue model for Clinton are thus 2.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.