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Tossup between Clinton and Trump in new Economist poll

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Economist released the results of a new national poll, in which respondents were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Economist poll results
44

Clinton

42

Trump

According to the results, 44.0% of participants indicated that they would give their vote to former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 42.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from September 4 to September 6 with 955 participants. If one takes into account the poll's sampling error of +/-4.7 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

Single polls may contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 51.2% for Clinton and 48.8% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

Clinton currently achieves 52.1% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls. This value is 0.9 percentage points higher than corresponding numbers in the Economist poll. This deviation is within the poll's margin of error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.5% of the two-party vote. Hence, the PollyVote is 1.3 points above polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error suggests that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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