Tennessee: Trump with significant advantage in Vanderbilt University poll

Vanderbilt University released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Tennessee were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

The results show that 35.0% of respondents said that they would give their vote to former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% plan to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was in the field between April 25 and May 11. The sample size was 1001 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.2 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 44.3% for Clinton and 55.7% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 2.7 points above his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error shows that this deviation is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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