The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 47.8% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, while Trump will end up with 52.2%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect 52.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.