Tennessee: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 47.8% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, while Trump will end up with 52.2%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect 52.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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