Tennessee: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 36.7% for Clinton, and 63.3% for Trump in Tennessee. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 63.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they may contain substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.