Results of a new poll administered by PPP (D) were circulated. The poll asked participants from West Virginia for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
PPP (D) poll results
According to the results, 30.0% of interviewees would cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% would vote for businessman Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from April 29 to May 1, among a random sample of 1201 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-2.8 points. This means that the levels of voter support for Trump and Clinton differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls may incorporate substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, you should consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. Hence, the PollyVote is 3.4 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore outside the poll's sampling error.