PPP (D) poll in Texas: Trump with 6 points lead
PPP (D) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Texas were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
Of those who replied, 44.0% said that they are going to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 50.0% indicated that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out between August 12 and August 14. The sample size was 944 likely voters.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they may contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 46.8% for Clinton and 53.2% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
Trump currently runs at 55.1% of the two-party vote in an average of recent polls in Texas. This value is 1.9 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the PPP (D) poll.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 56.0% of the two-party vote in Texas. That is, Polly's combined forecast is 2.8 points above his polling numbers.