Oregon: Clinton with big advantage in latest FOX 12/KPTV poll

FOX 12/KPTV published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Oregon were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

According to the results, 43.0% of respondents would cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 32.0% plan to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out between May 6 and May 9. The sample size was 902 likely voters. Considering the poll's sampling error of +/-3.3 percentage points, the difference in voter support is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 57.3% for Clinton and 42.7% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Oregon. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 1.2 points above her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error suggests that this difference is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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